To view and search all Edmonton and area MLS listed homes visit www.FindMyHouse.ca
The number of properties sold via the MLS® in Canada edged down further in December 2008 to reach the lowest level for the month since December 2000, according to CREA.
Seasonally adjusted residential MLS® sales activity numbered 27,357 units in December 2008, a decline of 1.8% compared to the previous month. However, seasonally adjusted activity was up in more than half of Canadian housing markets. Activity declines in Montreal, Calgary and Edmonton more than offset a rebound in the number of transactions in Vancouver, resulting in a small monthly decline in national sales activity.
The small month-over-month decline in national MLS® seasonally adjusted sales activity in December followed double digit declines in September (-14.9%) and October (-12.1%). Activity plummeted 22.2% in the fourth quarter of 2008 to 86,879 units, with seasonally adjusted quarterly declines in activity in all provinces. The sharp drop in fourth quarter activity accounted for over half of the decline in transactions since the peak in 2007.
Year-over-year declines in the MLS® average home price were reported in about half of local markets in December. Lower activity and average prices compared to one year ago remain most pronounced in Canada’s more expensive housing markets. This continues to weigh on the national MLS® residential average price.
The MLS® national average price of homes in December 2008 declined by 11% from where it stood a year ago. The major market price trend was similar to the national trend, down by 9.9% year over year in December 2008.
“Moderating home prices in Canada should not be confused with the downturn in the U.S. housing market,” says CREA President Calvin Lindberg. “But any local real estate market is not immune to global economic challenges, and that is what we face today. Low prices are not the concern as much as the perception of doom and gloom. Buyers are waiting to see if the real estate market has hit bottom, and that is a very complex thing to try and calculate. Most of us will only be affected by the market correction psychologically, because the majority of Canadians will not buy or sell property in the coming year.”
Seasonally adjusted new MLS® residential listings numbered 72,931 units in December, down 3% from levels recorded in November. New listings are trending lower. In December, they stood 8.1% below the peak reached in May 2008.
Resale housing market balance is represented by sales as a percentage of new listings. The rise in the number of new listings in the first half of last year along with declining sales activity, particularly in the fourth quarter, resulted in an increasingly balanced resale housing market over the course of 2008.
Sales as a percentage of new listings in the fourth quarter of 2008 fell to the lowest level since the mid 1990s. New listings are trending down from the peak reached in the second quarter of 2008. If this trend continues, the balance of supply and demand will stabilize in 2009.
“Average prices will remain under downward pressure during the Canadian economic recession,” said CREA Chief Economist Gregory Klump. “Shaky financial market confidence is pulling down business and consumer confidence. The consensus economic forecast predicts the economy will rebound in the second half of 2009, so housing market trends should strengthen next year.”
Source:Realtors Association of Edmonton
Thursday, January 22, 2009
Canada Sees Faster Recovery that Past Recessions
To view and search all Edmonton and area MLS listed homes visit www.FindMyHouse.ca
Jan. 22 (Bloomberg) -- The Bank of Canada said the economy this quarter will plunge instead of stalling, while anticipating a “faster” recovery than in earlier recessions as access to credit and exports rebound.
The central bank slashed its economic growth forecast for the first quarter, saying output will shrink at a 4.8 percent annualized pace after predicting in October that it would be unchanged. Gross domestic product will shrink at a 1 percent pace in the second quarter before expanding through 2010.
“The projected return to balance of the Canadian economy is faster than either of the recoveries following the 1981-82 and 1990-92 recessions,” the Ottawa-based central bank said today in an update to its October Monetary Policy Report. “Canadian credit conditions remain better than those in other major countries” and “exports are also expected to recover next year,” the bank said.
Governor Mark Carney two days ago cut borrowing costs by half a point to 1 percent, the lowest since the central bank was founded in 1934, and said he would “carefully” assess how much more stimulus may be needed. The world’s eighth-largest economy is shrinking because of slower foreign orders for goods such as cars and commodities such as crude oil, combined with the global credit crisis which has made banks reluctant to lend.
Currency Falls
The Canadian dollar weakened 0.7 percent to C$1.2637 per U.S. dollar at 11:53 a.m. in Toronto, from C$1.2551 yesterday.
The economy will contract 1.2 percent this year, marking Canada’s first recession since 1992, and then grow 3.8 percent in 2010, the central bank said. That’s almost double the 2 percent expansion predicted by economists in a Bloomberg News survey.
“We would love the Bank of Canada’s growth projections to turn out correctly, and maybe they will, but fear they are too optimistic on 2010,” Derek Holt, an economist with Scotia Capital Inc., wrote today in a note to clients. The bank may be “erring on the side of a relatively sanguine view of Canadian credit markets,” he said.
Exports will shave 2.6 percentage points off of economic growth this year, then add 2.1 percentage points in 2010, aided by a weaker currency and a rebound in U.S. demand, the bank said.
Even amid the financial crisis that has crippled access to credit in the world’s biggest economies, lending to businesses in Canada “grew at a solid pace” through November and household credit “has slowed only moderately,” the central bank said. The cost of borrowing for commercial lenders has fallen by 1 percentage point since October, the bank said, citing reductions in its own benchmark interest rate.
Gaining ‘Traction’
Also, actions taken by Canada and other countries to shore up credit markets and economies “are starting to gain traction,” the central bank said.
The report repeated that the Bank of Canada will assess “to what extent further monetary stimulus will be required” to meet its chief goal of keeping inflation at 2 percent.
Inflation will decline by 0.6 percent in the second quarter and 1 percent in the third and won’t return to the bank’s target until the first half of 2011, the bank said.
Consumer prices haven’t dropped for two or more consecutive quarters since 1953, according to Statistics Canada.
The Bank of Canada didn’t refer to its projection as a bout of deflation, saying risks to its inflation forecast are “roughly balanced.”
Further Tools
Deflation can freeze spending by business and consumers if they hold off on purchases in anticipation of ever-lower prices. Reversing deflation can be harder than inflation because central banks can only cut interest rates so low to encourage demand.
There was also no reference in the report to whether the central bank may eventually use policy tools other than interest-rate cuts to boost credit markets in Canada.
Carney, 43, said after his Oct. 23 forecast paper that Canada doesn’t need to consider buying direct stakes in banks as in the U.S. and some European countries, where governments are trying to catch up to Canadian lenders’ level of capitalization. In December, he said after a speech that it was “premature” to discuss such moves.
Still, Bank of Canada officials and Finance Minister Jim Flaherty have said the country’s banks, rated the soundest last year by the World Economic Forum, have scope to expand lending.
The next rate decision is scheduled for March 3.
The 1 percent policy rate that the Bank of Canada set two days ago is lower than a previous record of 1.12 percent in 1958 when the rate was based on treasury-bill yields.
To contact the reporter on this story: Greg Quinn in Ottawa at gquinn1@bloomberg.net. Last Updated: January 22, 2009 11:57 EST
Jan. 22 (Bloomberg) -- The Bank of Canada said the economy this quarter will plunge instead of stalling, while anticipating a “faster” recovery than in earlier recessions as access to credit and exports rebound.
The central bank slashed its economic growth forecast for the first quarter, saying output will shrink at a 4.8 percent annualized pace after predicting in October that it would be unchanged. Gross domestic product will shrink at a 1 percent pace in the second quarter before expanding through 2010.
“The projected return to balance of the Canadian economy is faster than either of the recoveries following the 1981-82 and 1990-92 recessions,” the Ottawa-based central bank said today in an update to its October Monetary Policy Report. “Canadian credit conditions remain better than those in other major countries” and “exports are also expected to recover next year,” the bank said.
Governor Mark Carney two days ago cut borrowing costs by half a point to 1 percent, the lowest since the central bank was founded in 1934, and said he would “carefully” assess how much more stimulus may be needed. The world’s eighth-largest economy is shrinking because of slower foreign orders for goods such as cars and commodities such as crude oil, combined with the global credit crisis which has made banks reluctant to lend.
Currency Falls
The Canadian dollar weakened 0.7 percent to C$1.2637 per U.S. dollar at 11:53 a.m. in Toronto, from C$1.2551 yesterday.
The economy will contract 1.2 percent this year, marking Canada’s first recession since 1992, and then grow 3.8 percent in 2010, the central bank said. That’s almost double the 2 percent expansion predicted by economists in a Bloomberg News survey.
“We would love the Bank of Canada’s growth projections to turn out correctly, and maybe they will, but fear they are too optimistic on 2010,” Derek Holt, an economist with Scotia Capital Inc., wrote today in a note to clients. The bank may be “erring on the side of a relatively sanguine view of Canadian credit markets,” he said.
Exports will shave 2.6 percentage points off of economic growth this year, then add 2.1 percentage points in 2010, aided by a weaker currency and a rebound in U.S. demand, the bank said.
Even amid the financial crisis that has crippled access to credit in the world’s biggest economies, lending to businesses in Canada “grew at a solid pace” through November and household credit “has slowed only moderately,” the central bank said. The cost of borrowing for commercial lenders has fallen by 1 percentage point since October, the bank said, citing reductions in its own benchmark interest rate.
Gaining ‘Traction’
Also, actions taken by Canada and other countries to shore up credit markets and economies “are starting to gain traction,” the central bank said.
The report repeated that the Bank of Canada will assess “to what extent further monetary stimulus will be required” to meet its chief goal of keeping inflation at 2 percent.
Inflation will decline by 0.6 percent in the second quarter and 1 percent in the third and won’t return to the bank’s target until the first half of 2011, the bank said.
Consumer prices haven’t dropped for two or more consecutive quarters since 1953, according to Statistics Canada.
The Bank of Canada didn’t refer to its projection as a bout of deflation, saying risks to its inflation forecast are “roughly balanced.”
Further Tools
Deflation can freeze spending by business and consumers if they hold off on purchases in anticipation of ever-lower prices. Reversing deflation can be harder than inflation because central banks can only cut interest rates so low to encourage demand.
There was also no reference in the report to whether the central bank may eventually use policy tools other than interest-rate cuts to boost credit markets in Canada.
Carney, 43, said after his Oct. 23 forecast paper that Canada doesn’t need to consider buying direct stakes in banks as in the U.S. and some European countries, where governments are trying to catch up to Canadian lenders’ level of capitalization. In December, he said after a speech that it was “premature” to discuss such moves.
Still, Bank of Canada officials and Finance Minister Jim Flaherty have said the country’s banks, rated the soundest last year by the World Economic Forum, have scope to expand lending.
The next rate decision is scheduled for March 3.
The 1 percent policy rate that the Bank of Canada set two days ago is lower than a previous record of 1.12 percent in 1958 when the rate was based on treasury-bill yields.
To contact the reporter on this story: Greg Quinn in Ottawa at gquinn1@bloomberg.net. Last Updated: January 22, 2009 11:57 EST
Real Estate Statistics - Jan 22, 2009
To view and search all MLS listed homes in the Edmonton area visit me at www.FindMyHouse.ca
As of this morning there are 2,395 single family dwellings listed in Edmonton proper. In the last 30 days there were also 249 sales of single family dwellings in Edmonton proper.
With those numbers that gives me a listing to sales ration of 9.62:1. That is over double the 4:1 needed for a neutral market. To me that indicates that we are going to see continued downward pressure on valuations.
So if you are thinking of selling this year the sooner you put your home on the market the better the chance of getting the most money possible.
If you are thinking of selling please feel free to give me a call anytime @ 780-995-6520 and ask for a free market analysis of the value of your home.
As of this morning there are 2,395 single family dwellings listed in Edmonton proper. In the last 30 days there were also 249 sales of single family dwellings in Edmonton proper.
With those numbers that gives me a listing to sales ration of 9.62:1. That is over double the 4:1 needed for a neutral market. To me that indicates that we are going to see continued downward pressure on valuations.
So if you are thinking of selling this year the sooner you put your home on the market the better the chance of getting the most money possible.
If you are thinking of selling please feel free to give me a call anytime @ 780-995-6520 and ask for a free market analysis of the value of your home.
Wednesday, January 7, 2009
Current Mortgage Rates - Jan 07, 2009
To view and seach all Edmonton and area MLS listed homes visit me at www.FindMyHouse.ca
This edition of Weekly Rate Minder has the latest, best rates for Canadian mortgages. At Dominion Lending Centres, we work on your behalf to find the mortgage that suits your needs. Best of all - our service is "free".* It's the selected lender that pays us and YOU get the best rate. *(O.A.C., E.&O.E.)
• Our Best Rates
• Explore Mortgage Scenarios with Helpful Calculators on dominionlending.ca
Terms / Posted Rates / Our Rates
1 YEAR / 5.60% / 4.00%
2 YEARS / 6.25% / 4.99%
3 YEARS / 6.25% / 4.95%
4 YEARS / 6.09% / 4.85%
5 YEARS / 6.75% / 4.95%
7 YEARS / 7.20% / 5.80%
10 YEARS / 7.55% / 5.95%
Rates are subject to change without notice. *OAC E&OE
Prime Rate is 3.50%.
Variable rate mortgages from as low as Prime + .80%
Rates are subject to change without notice. Fixed mortgage rates shown in table above and quoted variable mortgage rates are available nationally to qualified individuals. Some conditions may apply. Lower rates may be available in certain regions, or to those with higher credit scores or higher net worth – check with your Dominion Lending Centres Mortgage Expert for full details.
Information provided by Debbie Forbes -
Debbie Forbes - Dominion Lending Centres Cornerstone Mortgage And Leasing Inc.
780-991-8787
This edition of Weekly Rate Minder has the latest, best rates for Canadian mortgages. At Dominion Lending Centres, we work on your behalf to find the mortgage that suits your needs. Best of all - our service is "free".* It's the selected lender that pays us and YOU get the best rate. *(O.A.C., E.&O.E.)
• Our Best Rates
• Explore Mortgage Scenarios with Helpful Calculators on dominionlending.ca
Terms / Posted Rates / Our Rates
1 YEAR / 5.60% / 4.00%
2 YEARS / 6.25% / 4.99%
3 YEARS / 6.25% / 4.95%
4 YEARS / 6.09% / 4.85%
5 YEARS / 6.75% / 4.95%
7 YEARS / 7.20% / 5.80%
10 YEARS / 7.55% / 5.95%
Rates are subject to change without notice. *OAC E&OE
Prime Rate is 3.50%.
Variable rate mortgages from as low as Prime + .80%
Rates are subject to change without notice. Fixed mortgage rates shown in table above and quoted variable mortgage rates are available nationally to qualified individuals. Some conditions may apply. Lower rates may be available in certain regions, or to those with higher credit scores or higher net worth – check with your Dominion Lending Centres Mortgage Expert for full details.
Information provided by Debbie Forbes -
Debbie Forbes - Dominion Lending Centres Cornerstone Mortgage And Leasing Inc.
780-991-8787
Tuesday, January 6, 2009
Happy New Year!!! & Current Edmonton Real Estate Statistics - Jan 06, 2008
To view and search all Edmonton and area MLS listed homes visit me at http://www.findmyhouse.ca/
Well we are off to a new year with all hopes and expectations of a great year.
Currently there are 2,319 single family homes on the market in Edmonton proper. However in the last 30 days there only has been 230 sales. That gives us a listings to sales ratio of 10.08:1
That is the highest I have seen this ratio since the market turned in mid 2007. Now part of that has to be attributed to the fact that these numbers reflect the activity in December which historically has been one of the slowest months of the year.
Having said that the ratio is still way to high and I would expect there will be more pressure on valuations in the incoming few weeks of the new year.
Well we are off to a new year with all hopes and expectations of a great year.
Currently there are 2,319 single family homes on the market in Edmonton proper. However in the last 30 days there only has been 230 sales. That gives us a listings to sales ratio of 10.08:1
That is the highest I have seen this ratio since the market turned in mid 2007. Now part of that has to be attributed to the fact that these numbers reflect the activity in December which historically has been one of the slowest months of the year.
Having said that the ratio is still way to high and I would expect there will be more pressure on valuations in the incoming few weeks of the new year.
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